Myrtle Beach Classic Tip Sheet

By J.T. CHADWELL

RECAP

No luck last week as the signature events continue to be completely dominated by the same players week in and week out.  Cameron Young put this last tournament to bed early on Friday amassing a six-shot lead and then never looking back.  With the top players currently in such good form, we will look to switch up the strategy for the upcoming week.  This week we will skip over the signature event at Quail Hollow Golf Club in Charlotte, and opt for the alt event in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

ONEFLIGHT MYRTLE BEACH CLASSIC

While most of the bigger names tee off in Charlotte, NC this week, others have the opportunity to travel to Myrtle Beach for the 3rd annual ONEFlight Myrtle Beach Classic.  This week’s event is held at The Dunes Golf and Beach Club.  The first two events held at this golf course were won by players with very similar playing styles.  Chris Gotterup won the inaugural event, with Ryan Fox winning last year.  Both these players are quite long off the tee and putt it very well.  As we look at course compatibility scores, The Dunes holds consistent with many other coastal courses like Puntacana and Congaree, putting much less of a value on driving accuracy.  Holding consistent with that theme, the second-highest compatibility score comes from Memorial Park in Houston where Gary Woodland and Nicolai Hojgaard both battled it out on Sunday about a month ago.  Both those players also fit this profile.  Therefore this week’s betting card will host a variety of players with very similar skillsets. 

THE BETTING CARD

• MAX GREYSERMAN (+3500) .125 UNITS TO WIN 4.5 UNITS – First up this week is Greyserman, who, over the last six weeks or so, has had a few spike rounds where he has gone nuclear.  Unfortunately that has been coupled with some really bad rounds too, but he gained in all four categories last week at Doral and he gets a course that should fit him well.

• ADRIEN DUMONT DE CHASSART (+4000) .125 UNITS TO WIN 5.12 UNITS – ADC has been putting up some nice finishes in his first full season on tour.  He has finished top 30 in six of his last seven finishes, draws a weaker field, and a golf course that should fit his game very nicely.

• AUSTIN ECKROAT (+4100) .15 UNITS TO WIN 6 UNITS – The course fit isn’t the best for Eckroat, so this is mainly a form/talent combo play.  Eckroat has won twice out here and can beat this field.  His game seems to be coming around and was striking it nicely in New Orleans last time out.

• MATTI SCHMID (+4400) .125 UNITS TO WIN 5.62 UNITS – It’s only a matter of time until Schmid gets the job done on a Sunday out here.  A coastal course guru, Schmid now draws a coastal course that requires more length than most, and he has more length than most.  He has also finished top 10 3 of his last 6 events.

• BLADES BROWN (+5400) .1 UNITS TO WIN 5.5 UNITS – He is too good to pass up at 54/1.  While he has the complete game, and will eventually be a superstar on this tour, the 18 year old has put up very solid results on coastal courses (T17 in the Bahamas, solo 3rd in Puerto Rico).

• TRACE CROWE (+5500) .075 UNITS TO WIN 4.2 UNITS – The former Auburn standout was sidelined with a wrist injury from August of last year until March of this season.  Since coming back he has three top 5 finishes on the Korn Ferry Tour and is fresh off a T4 in New Orleans.

• KARL VILIPS (+6600) .075 UNITS TO WIN 5.02 UNITS – In March of last year, I had the exact same play at the exact same odds on a golf course that has the second highest compatibility score.  Vilips won that tournament fairly easily.  Vilips comes here having gained strokes putting and on approach in five straight events.  Sign me up again.

• GARRICK HIGGO (+7200) .1 UNITS TO WIN 7.3 UNITS – A former UNLV standout, I was having conversations with the bartender at a golf course I played in Las Vegas last week about Higgo.  That slight jog of memory is enough for me to play him this week even though his form is terrible.

• THIRSTON LAWRENCE (+9200) .075 UNITS TO WIN 6.97 UNITS – Number is too high for Lawrence who has competed for major championship trophies.  He spends most of his time on the DP World Tour where he is always a fringe top 10-15 player.  His recent form hasn’t been great, but guys of his caliber can find it at any time.

• HAYDEN SPRINGER (+9600) .05 UNITS TO WIN 4.8 UNITS – Springer is off the back of just missing out on a playoff in New Orleans with partner Alex Smalley.  Should be a nice course fit and he is one of the best first round players on the PGA Tour.  

• SKIP THE STARBUCKS LONGSHOT PICKS

• • DAVIS RILEY 270/1
  • GORDON SARGENT 340/1
  • RYAN BREHM 1000/1