By J.T. CHADWELL
A clean sweep of average plays on Thursday, and a hit on high risk from Spain vs. Austria brings us over .500 on average risk, and our overall profit to plus-4.9 units if you’ve been betting with us for the entire World Cup.
Let’s keep it rolling as the round of 32 ends.
AUSTRALIA VS EGYPT
Much like the Switzerland and Algeria game yesterday, this match will be played to ensure someone has an opponent in the round of 16 and really nothing more. Neither team has any chance in this tournament in the later rounds. Australia has boosted its defense for this Cup and Egypt also holds a pretty strong defense. The odds are quite even and just to make the round of 16 is huge for either team, so I would expect a very tight game with neither one taking on much risk.
- Low risk parlay toss ins: Under 1.5 first half goals AND under 3.5 total goals (-350)
- Average risk play: 1st half correct score 0-0 (+130)
- High risk play: 3 way moneyline DRAW AND neither team to get 7 corners (+280)
ARGENTINA VS CAPE VERDE
What a Cinderella run for Cape Verde! Its prize for being the smallest country ever to reach the knockout stage? A match against the defending champion Argentina. Good luck with that.
- Low risk parlay toss ins: Argentina moneyline AND Argentina 5+ shots on goal (-310)
- Average risk parlay: Argentina -1.5 and Messi to score (-105)
- High risk parlay: Argentina -2.5 goals and 7+ shots on target (+280)
COLOMBIA VS GHANA
While the final scores maybe didn’t show it for Colombia, I thought this was one of the most impressive teams of the group stage. Colombia got the draw it needed against Portugal to win its group, but was easily the better team that night. Colombia is creating lots of chances right now and have some attacking depth. I think this team can make a deep run in the bracket.
- Low risk parlay toss in: Colombia to advance (-450)
- Average risk parlay: Colombia to win AND under 3.5 total goals AND 10+ shots attempted (+105)
- High risk parlay: Colombia to win 1-0 or 2-0 AND 13+ shots attempted (+300)
Record
Low risk: 67-18
Average risk: 43-42 (minus 0.5 units)
High risk: 25-59 (plus 5.4 units)
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